FanDuel NBA Top Picks and Value Plays for Thursday March 16, 2017

We have six games tonight on the main FanDuel NBA slate. The real question on tonight’s slate is do we play Russell Westbrook? $13,500 is a ton of money to pay in a $60,000 dollar salary cap game. Let’s see what we can find tonight.

I need to remind you this column is written in the morning. Things change quickly in the NBA so you need to be certain whoever you have selected is actually playing that night.

 

Game Spread Over Under Totals
Utah @ Cleveland Cleveland -6 209.5
Oklahoma City @ Toronto Toronto -3 207.5
Brooklyn @ New York New York -3.5 219.5
Memphis @ Atlanta Atlanta -4 203.5
L.A. Clippers @ Denver Denver -1.5 224.5
Orlando @ Golden State Golden State -14 218.5

 

Point Guards

Cleveland Cavaliers point guard Kyrie Irving ($9100) has a very good opportunity tonight at home against a Utah Jazz defense allowing point guards to average 45.2 FanDuel points per game this season and over their past five games have allowed 51.4 points per game. In 31 home games this season Irving is averaging 39.96 FanDuel points per game with a five game floor of 34.2 and a ceiling of 44.6 FanDuel points. During the month of March Irving has a Usage Rate of 33.4 percent and a True Shooting percentage of 62 percent.

Value plays tonight under $6000 bucks include Jeremy Lin ($5900) and Jamal Murray ($4000).

Shooting Guards

It’s fairly shallow tonight at shooting guard but I suppose the best upper tier opportunity belongs to Golden State Warriors shooting guard Klay Thompson ($7000) against an Orlando Magic defense allowing shooting guards to average 40.8 FanDuel points per game this season and over the past five games have allowed 42.8 FanDuel points per game. In 30 home games this season Thompson is averaging 32.60 FanDuel points per game with a five game floor of 17.5 FanDuel points and a ceiling of 40.2 points. Thompson has a March Usage Rate of 29.4 percent and a True Shooting percentage of 52 percent.

Value plays tonight under $6000 bucks include J.J. Redick ($4000) and J.R. Smith ($3600).

Small Forwards

It’s also fairly slim at small forward tonight so if you are planning on spending money at this position than Cleveland Cavaliers small forward LeBron James ($10,500) might be your best option. The Utah Jazz defense has only allowed small forwards to average 34.1 FanDuel points a game this season and just 27.1 over their past five games but this is the King who over the past five games has a FanDuel floor of 41.9 and a ceiling of 60.4.In 33 home games this season James is averaging 49.02 FanDuel points per game and has a March Usage Rate of 32.5 percent with a True Shooting percentage of 60 percent.

Value plays tonight under $6000 bucks include Rondae Hollis-Jefferson ($4400) and Matt Barnes ($4300).

Power Forwards

Golden State Warriors power forward Draymond Green ($8300) has a very good opportunity tonight against an Orlando Magic defense allowing power forwards to average 44.8 FanDuel points per game this season and over the past five games has allowed 54.9 FanDuel points. In 30 home games this season Green is averaging 36.45 FanDuel points per game with a five game FanDuel floor of 28.7 and a ceiling of 60.6 FanDuel points. Green has a March Usage Rate of 17.1 percent with a True Shooting percentage of 50 percent.

Value plays tonight under $6000 bucks include Aaron Gordon ($5600) and Taj Gibson ($4200).

Centers

Brooklyn Nets center Brook Lopez ($7000) has a good opportunity tonight against a New York Knicks defense allowing centers to average 50 FanDuel points per game this season and 55 points per game over the past five games. In 28 road games this season Lopez is averaging 31.49 FanDuel points per game with a five game FanDuel floor of 14.8 and a ceiling of 37.5 points. Lopez has a March Usage Rate of 29.3 percent and a True Shooting percentage of 60 percent.

Value plays tonight under $6000 bucks include Mason Plumlee ($5800) and Guillermo Hernangomez ($6000).

Good luck at FanDuel tonight!!

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